Real-time win probabilities for rugby union and rugby league — every bookmaker price averaged, the margin stripped. Powered by the SkipOdds API.
Union & league · 18 bookmakers, de-vigged and refreshed continuously — internationals lead the board
| Match | Fair win probability | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NRL Cronulla Sutherland Sharks v North Queensland Cowboys 2026-09-09 02:00 UTC |
66.1% | 33.9% | — |
| NRL South Sydney Rabbitohs v Newcastle Knights 2026-09-09 02:05 UTC |
68.0% | 32.0% | — |
| NRL Penrith Panthers v Sydney Roosters 2026-09-09 02:10 UTC |
72.0% | 28.0% | — |
| NRL New Zealand Warriors v Dolphins 2026-09-09 02:15 UTC |
61.8% | 38.2% | — |
| NRL South Sydney Rabbitohs v Newcastle Knights 2026-09-11 09:50 UTC · draw 3.6% |
64.5% | 31.8% | 3.6% |
| NRL New Zealand Warriors v Dolphins 2026-09-12 06:05 UTC · draw 4.9% |
56.5% | 38.6% | 4.9% |
| NRL Cronulla Sutherland Sharks v North Queensland Cowboys 2026-09-12 09:50 UTC · draw 3.7% |
63.2% | 33.1% | 3.7% |
| NRL Penrith Panthers v Sydney Roosters 2026-09-13 06:05 UTC · draw 4.4% |
68.6% | 27.0% | 4.4% |
| NRL Penrith Panthers v Wests Tigers |
38–10 Final |
| NRL St George Illawarra Dragons v Parramatta Eels |
24–22 Final |
| NRL Cronulla Sutherland Sharks v Melbourne Storm |
20–24 Final |
| NRL North Queensland Cowboys v Canberra Raiders |
30–50 Final |
| NRL New Zealand Warriors v Manly Warringah Sea Eagles |
31–30 Final |
Match-winner odds overstate every outcome — the bookmaker margin ("vig") is baked in, so the implied probabilities sum to more than 100%. ScrumSeek averages the surveyed prices per outcome and removes that margin, leaving the SkipOdds Index: the market's honest opinion of the match — three fair numbers when the books price the draw, two when they don't.
Every number on this page is served by the SkipOdds API — the same engine behind:
curl "https://skipodds.com/v1/rugby/fixtures?api_key=skipodds-demo-2026"
Or skip the code entirely — the free widget drops this exact board into any page with two lines:
<div data-skipodds data-sport="rugby" data-limit="5"></div> <script async src="https://skipodds.com/widget.js"></script>
The demo key serves 100 requests/day. Full reference
